Thinking-in-Time

A Scenario-Based Developmental Method for Army Officers

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Thinking-in-Time

Thinking-in-Time Framework
Thinking-in-Time Glossary of Terms
Module 1 - Lesson Plan
Module 2 - Lesson Plan
Module 3 - Lesson Plan
Module 4 - Lesson Plan
Thinking-in-Time Copyright Attribution list

Module 1 References

Self-assessment Q1: CMH Guide to the Study and Use of Military History
Self-assessment Q2: Combat experience COL JP Clark article Organizational Change and Adaptation in the US Army
A Guide to the Study and Use of Military History
Domain Integration Diagram - AFC Pam 71-20-1
ATP 1-20 Military History Operations (2014)
Characteristics of Time - Speed Kills? Fighting and Thinking in Time [External Link]
Red Team Handbook [External Link]
Confirmation bias - Air & Space Forces Magazine
"Enhancing the Strategic Capability of the Army: An Investigation of Strategic Thinking Tasks, Skills, and Development."
Military History Toolbox - at the U.S. Army Heritage and Education Center (USAHEC) [External Link]

Module 2 References

CBS Video [External Link]
CSIS Report - Strategic Failure? Talk Without Hope? Tactical Success? Spend Not Build (And Then Stop Spending)?
Johnson, Robert (2014) "Predicting Future War"
COL Tunnell's 2011 Memo to the SECARMY
CMH Pub 70-122-1 U.S. Army in Afghanistan Operation Enduring Freedom March 2002-April 2005
What We Need to Learn: Lessons from Twenty Years of Afghanistan Reconstruction - Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction
Why America keeps building corrupt client states - The Economist
Why the Afghan Security Forces Collapsed - SIGAR Report
Blind spot - Learning from the Past, Looking to the Future - Parameters - Spring 2015
To Win Wars, Correct the Armys Political Blind Spot - Parameters - DEC 2015
Personnel Policies Unit Cohesion and Recruiting

Module 3 References

ATP 7-100.3 Chinese Tactics
Utilizing Army Historians in the Operational Force - Capt. Michael Loveland, U.S. Army Reserve March-April 2020 Military Review
Scenario Planning Methodology for Future Conflict Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs - Spring 2021
Drug Enforcement Administration 2020 National Drug Threat Assessment - NDTA - DEA

Module 4 References

Causal Chain Analysis - ARI Report - Expert Approaches to Analysis
SA/CSA Memo - A Call to Service to Overcome Recruiting and Retention Challenges
Army Multi-Domain Transformation - Ready to Win in Competition and Conflict - Chief of Staff Paper #1 - Unclassified Version
HQDA EXORD 114-23 - ANNEX A - SA DA Recruiting FY23 SRP Tri-Signed Letter
Personnel Policies Unit Cohesion and Recruiting
Six Rules for Effective Forecasting - by Paul Saffo
Sharpening Your Forecasting Skills - Foresight Is a Measurable Skill That You Can Cultivate [External Link]
Army Force Management Model
Chinese Tactics - Evolution of the Peoples War
Speed Kills? Fighting and Thinking in Time
Strategic Compression and the Militarys Pursuit of Cognitive Readiness [External Link]
The U.S. Army Robotic and Autonomous Systems Strategy
Department of the Navy Unmanned Campaign Framework