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MODULES
Module 1: Introduction
Module 2: The Past
Module 3: The Present
Module 4: The Future
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REFERENCES
Thinking-in-Time
A scenario based developmental method for Army officers.
Thinking-in-Time
Thinking-in-Time Framework
Module 1 References
Self-assessment Q1: CMH Guide to the Study and Use of Military History
Self-assessment Q2: Combat experience COL JP Clark article Organizational Change and Adaptation in the US Army
A Guide to the Study and Use of Military History
Domain Integration Diagram - AFC Pam 71-20-1
ATP 1-20 Military History Operations (2014)
Characteristics of Time - Speed Kills? Fighting and Thinking in Time [External Link]
Red Team Handbook [External Link]
Confirmation bias - Air & Space Forces Magazine
“Enhancing the Strategic Capability of the Army: An Investigation of Strategic Thinking Tasks, Skills, and Development.”
Military History Toolbox - at the U.S. Army Heritage and Education Center (USAHEC) [External Link]
Module 2 References
CBS Video [External Link]
CSIS Report - Strategic Failure? Talk Without Hope? Tactical Success? Spend Not Build (And Then Stop Spending)?
Waldman, Thomas(2010) ''Shadows of Uncertainty' Clausewitz's Timeless Analysis of Chance in War'
COL Tunnel’s 2011 Memo to the SECARMY
CMH_Pub_70-122-1 U.S. Army in Afghanistan Operation Enduring Freedom March 2002–April 2005
What We Need to Learn: Lessons from Twenty Years of Afghanistan Reconstruction - Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction
Why America keeps building corrupt client states – The Economist
Why did the Afghan army disintegrate so quickly?
Blind spot - Learning from the Past, Looking to the Future – Parameters - Spring 2015
To Win Wars, Correct the Army’s Political Blind Spot - Parameters - DEC 2015
Personnel Policies Unit Cohesion and Recruiting
Module 3 References
ATP 7-100.3 Chinese Tactics
Utilizing Army Historians in the Operational Force - Capt. Michael Loveland, U.S. Army Reserve March-April 2020 Military Review
Scenario Planning Methodology for Future Conflict Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs - Spring 2021
Drug Enforcement Administration 2020 National Drug Threat Assessment - NDTA - DEA
Module 4 References
Causal Chain Analysis - ARI Report - Expert Approaches to Analysis
SA/CSA Memo - A Call to Service to Overcome Recruiting and Retention Challenges
Army Multi-Domain Transformation - Ready to Win in Competition and Conflict - Chief of Staff Paper #1 - Unclassified Version
HQDA EXORD 114-23 - ANNEX A - SA DA Recruiting FY23 SRP Tri-Signed Letter
Personnel Policies Unit Cohesion and Recruiting
Six Rules for Effective Forecasting - by Paul Saffo
Sharpening Your Forecasting Skills - Foresight Is a Measurable Skill That You Can Cultivate
Army Force Management Model
Chinese Tactics – Evolution of the Peoples War
Speed Kills? Fighting and Thinking in Time
Strategic Compression and the Military’s Pursuit of Cognitive Readiness [External Link]
The U.S. Army Robotic and Autonomous Systems Strategy
Department of the Navy Unmanned Campaign Framework
